Suriname vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2010 |
SUR
2 - 1
CUW
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
GUF
1 - 2
SUR
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SUR
1 - 1
ANT
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
SUR
0 - 1
GUY
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
SUR
1 - 1
HTI
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2010 |
GUY
1 - 0
LCA
82%
13%
6%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
ATG
5 - 0
LCA
66%
19%
14%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
TTO
3 - 0
LCA
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 78 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
LCA
1 - 5
VCT
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
LCA
1 - 3
GTM
12%
21%
68%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | -1 |