WC Qual. CONCACAF Caribe 1ra Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Suriname vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LCA
1 - 0
SUR
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1999 |
SUR
2 - 1
GUY
71%
16%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
ABW
2 - 2
SUR
41%
24%
36%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1998 |
SUR
3 - 3
ANT
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
MTQ
1 - 1
SUR
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LCA
1 - 0
SUR
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
KNA
0 - 1
LCA
64%
19%
18%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2000 |
VGB
2 - 3
LCA
48%
23%
30%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
VGB
0 - 2
LCA
50%
22%
27%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
VIR
0 - 2
LCA
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 5 | 33 | +1 |