Suriname vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MEX
3 - 0
SUR
84%
12%
4%
|
55 | 90 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
JAM
3 - 1
SUR
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SUR
1 - 1
JAM
14%
21%
66%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
GUF
3 - 1
SUR
39%
23%
37%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
THA
1 - 0
SUR
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 0
BHS
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
BHS
0 - 2
NIC
15%
18%
67%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
VCT
2 - 2
NIC
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NIC
2 - 1
TTO
16%
21%
63%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 1
BLZ
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |