Suriname vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2008 |
CUB
6 - 0
SUR
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SUR
2 - 1
CUW
73%
17%
11%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
BRB
3 - 2
SUR
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
SLV
3 - 0
SUR
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SUR
1 - 4
CRC
5%
15%
80%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
CRC
2 - 0
HTI
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
HTI
0 - 0
SLV
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
HTI
1 - 3
CRC
25%
28%
48%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SLV
5 - 0
HTI
36%
26%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
HTI
2 - 2
SUR
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |