WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 2 Final
Global 2-4
Suriname vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
60.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
SUR
8 - 1
ABW
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ABW
1 - 2
SUR
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
ANT
2 - 0
SUR
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SUR
1 - 1
ANT
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
SUR
6 - 0
ABW
73%
17%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2004 |
GTM
1 - 0
HTI
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
GTM
1 - 2
PAN
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
SLV
0 - 3
GTM
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
PER
0 - 0
GTM
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 0
GTM
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |