Switzerland vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
35%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
SUI
3 - 5
GER
37%
22%
41%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
SUI
2 - 2
BEL
56%
19%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1953 |
FRA
2 - 4
SUI
69%
16%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
CSK
5 - 0
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1953 |
SUI
1 - 4
DEN
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
46%
21%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1954 |
URU
1 - 4
PAR
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
URU
2 - 1
ENG
35%
22%
44%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1953 |
URU
3 - 0
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1953 |
URU
6 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |