Switzerland vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1982 |
LIE
0 - 1
SUI
21%
22%
58%
|
74 | 10 | 64 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
SUI
0 - 0
ROU
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
HUN
3 - 0
SUI
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
ROU
1 - 2
SUI
79%
14%
8%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1981 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
BRD
3 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
GRC
1 - 2
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1981 |
BGR
5 - 2
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
POR
2 - 1
SCO
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
ISR
4 - 1
POR
39%
29%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |