Switzerland vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
HUN
3 - 1
SUI
91%
7%
3%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1966 |
SUI
2 - 2
SUN
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
54%
20%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
NED
0 - 0
SUI
68%
17%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1965 |
SUI
0 - 1
BRD
36%
23%
41%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1966 |
CHI
0 - 1
MEX
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1966 |
MEX
1 - 0
CHI
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
MEX
7 - 0
PAR
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1964 |
DDR
2 - 0
MEX
44%
22%
34%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1964 |
IRN
1 - 1
MEX
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |