Switzerland vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1970 |
SUI
2 - 1
FRA
34%
23%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1970 |
SUI
0 - 1
ESP
34%
26%
41%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
SUI
1 - 1
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1969 |
GRC
4 - 1
SUI
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
TUR
3 - 0
SUI
56%
22%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
4 - 1
ITA
70%
17%
13%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1970 |
ITA
4 - 3
BRD
71%
16%
13%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
ITA
4 - 1
MEX
81%
12%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1970 |
ITA
0 - 0
ISR
85%
10%
6%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
URU
0 - 0
ITA
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |