Switzerland vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
FRA
2 - 1
SUI
61%
19%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
AUT
4 - 3
SUI
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1937 |
SUI
0 - 1
IRL
52%
21%
27%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
SUI
0 - 1
GER
35%
21%
44%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 2
SUI
67%
17%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1937 |
NOR
1 - 3
ITA
44%
23%
33%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1937 |
CSK
0 - 1
ITA
53%
21%
26%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
ITA
2 - 0
HUN
65%
17%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
AUT
2 - 0
ITA
58%
20%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 0
CSK
71%
16%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |