Switzerland vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
SUI
6 - 3
NED
39%
22%
39%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1930 |
NOR
3 - 0
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
SWE
1 - 0
SUI
84%
10%
6%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
SUI
0 - 5
GER
39%
23%
38%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
SUI
2 - 2
HUN
34%
22%
44%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1931 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUT
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1931 |
ITA
5 - 0
FRA
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1930 |
ITA
2 - 3
ESP
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1930 |
HUN
0 - 5
ITA
60%
19%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
NED
1 - 1
ITA
53%
22%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |