Switzerland vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1921 |
SUI
2 - 2
AUT
53%
22%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
NED
2 - 0
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1921 |
ITA
2 - 1
SUI
65%
18%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1920 |
SUI
4 - 1
GER
52%
21%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1920 |
SWE
0 - 1
SUI
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1921 |
NED
2 - 2
ITA
75%
15%
11%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1921 |
BEL
2 - 3
ITA
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1921 |
ITA
2 - 1
SUI
65%
18%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1921 |
FRA
1 - 2
ITA
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1920 |
ESP
2 - 0
ITA
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |