Switzerland vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
44.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
POR
2 - 4
SUI
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
ITA
2 - 0
SUI
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1938 |
SUI
1 - 0
POR
52%
20%
27%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
IRL
4 - 0
SUI
66%
17%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1938 |
HUN
2 - 0
SUI
80%
11%
8%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
IRL
2 - 2
HUN
41%
21%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1939 |
FRA
2 - 2
HUN
35%
21%
44%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
NED
3 - 2
HUN
46%
20%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1938 |
SCO
3 - 1
HUN
50%
21%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1938 |
ITA
4 - 2
HUN
64%
17%
19%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |