Switzerland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
SUI
1 - 2
AUT
41%
21%
38%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
IRL
0 - 1
SUI
55%
19%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1948 |
ENG
6 - 0
SUI
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SUI
1 - 1
CSK
47%
21%
32%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
SUI
3 - 3
ESP
43%
22%
35%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 1
WAL
57%
20%
24%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
POR
3 - 2
WAL
55%
19%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1949 |
NIR
0 - 2
WAL
45%
20%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1948 |
ENG
1 - 0
WAL
84%
10%
6%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1948 |
WAL
1 - 3
SCO
47%
22%
32%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |