Switzerland vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
SUI
1 - 2
ITA
39%
23%
39%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1936 |
NED
1 - 0
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
HUN
6 - 1
SUI
77%
13%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
SUI
2 - 0
NOR
47%
20%
33%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1935 |
SUI
2 - 1
FRA
60%
18%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
CSK
1 - 0
ESP
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
ESP
1 - 2
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1936 |
ESP
4 - 5
AUT
53%
20%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
GER
1 - 2
ESP
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
POR
3 - 3
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |