Switzerland vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
21%
24%
55%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
SUI
1 - 1
ARG
23%
26%
52%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SUI
1 - 3
COL
51%
27%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
SUI
2 - 0
JAM
73%
19%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
GER
3 - 1
SUI
76%
16%
9%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 6
BRA
6%
13%
80%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
0 - 0
CHI
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHI
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2007 |
ECU
2 - 3
CHI
40%
25%
35%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
JAM
0 - 1
CHI
27%
29%
44%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |