Switzerland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
ESP
6 - 3
SUI
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1950 |
GER
1 - 0
SUI
82%
10%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
SUI
4 - 2
SWE
39%
21%
40%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
SUI
7 - 5
NED
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
SUI
2 - 1
MEX
44%
21%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1950 |
GER
1 - 0
SUI
82%
10%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
SVK
2 - 5
GER
33%
22%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
GER
5 - 1
CRO
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
SUI
3 - 5
GER
40%
22%
39%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
GER
2 - 3
SWE
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |