Switzerland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
GER
4 - 2
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
HUN
3 - 0
SUI
78%
12%
10%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ITA
1 - 1
SUI
79%
12%
8%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1939 |
SUI
3 - 1
ITA
37%
23%
40%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
POL
1 - 1
SUI
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
GER
7 - 0
HUN
66%
16%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
GER
4 - 2
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
GER
1 - 0
DEN
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
YUG
2 - 0
GER
37%
21%
42%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
GER
7 - 3
BGR
82%
10%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |