World Cup Mundial de Francia Last 16
Global 5-3
Switzerland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1938 |
SUI
1 - 1
GER
34%
22%
45%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1938 |
SUI
2 - 1
ENG
27%
20%
53%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +2 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
SUI
0 - 3
BEL
63%
17%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 May. 1938 |
SUI
2 - 1
POR
50%
21%
29%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
SUI
4 - 0
CSK
38%
22%
40%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1938 |
SUI
1 - 1
GER
34%
22%
45%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1938 |
GER
3 - 6
ENG
50%
20%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
GER
1 - 1
POR
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GER
2 - 1
LUX
85%
9%
6%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GER
1 - 1
HUN
59%
18%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |