Switzerland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
38%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
SUI
2 - 2
HUN
34%
22%
44%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
FRA
3 - 3
SUI
56%
20%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
ITA
4 - 2
SUI
76%
14%
10%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
SUI
1 - 3
AUT
32%
23%
45%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
CSK
5 - 0
SUI
79%
12%
9%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1930 |
GER
0 - 2
ITA
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
GER
4 - 0
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1929 |
GER
3 - 0
SWE
46%
22%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1929 |
GER
1 - 1
SCO
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
ITA
1 - 2
GER
63%
19%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |