Switzerland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1923 |
FRA
2 - 2
SUI
50%
22%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1923 |
SUI
1 - 6
HUN
41%
23%
35%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1923 |
SUI
2 - 0
AUT
49%
22%
29%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1922 |
ITA
2 - 2
SUI
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1922 |
SUI
5 - 0
NED
36%
23%
41%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1923 |
GER
0 - 0
NED
39%
23%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
ITA
3 - 1
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1922 |
GER
0 - 0
HUN
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1922 |
AUT
0 - 2
GER
68%
16%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 1922 |
GER
2 - 2
SUI
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |