Switzerland vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1968 |
CYP
2 - 1
SUI
62%
18%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1968 |
ISR
2 - 1
SUI
52%
21%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1967 |
ITA
4 - 0
SUI
85%
10%
5%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1967 |
SUI
2 - 2
ITA
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1967 |
SUI
5 - 0
CYP
51%
20%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1968 |
BEL
1 - 3
BRD
38%
24%
38%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
ALB
0 - 0
BRD
24%
24%
53%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1967 |
ROU
1 - 0
BRD
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
BRD
3 - 1
YUG
63%
19%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1967 |
BRD
5 - 1
FRA
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |