Sweden vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1966 |
FIN
1 - 0
SWE
27%
22%
51%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
POL
1 - 1
SWE
36%
24%
41%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1966 |
DDR
4 - 1
SWE
27%
23%
50%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
CYP
0 - 5
SWE
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 0
YUG
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1966 |
YUG
0 - 2
BGR
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
YUG
2 - 0
HUN
35%
23%
42%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
YUG
75%
15%
11%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
YUG
1 - 1
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |