EC Qualifying Etapas finales Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Sweden vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1963 |
SWE
0 - 0
FIN
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 43 | 44 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1963 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1963 |
YUG
0 - 0
SWE
64%
18%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1963 |
SUN
0 - 1
SWE
39%
23%
39%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
SWE
2 - 1
HUN
38%
21%
41%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1963 |
YUG
0 - 0
SWE
64%
18%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
BEL
0 - 1
YUG
30%
23%
47%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
YUG
3 - 2
BEL
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
HUN
0 - 1
YUG
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
YUG
2 - 3
BRD
74%
14%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |