Sweden vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
11.2%
8.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1950 |
SWE
3 - 1
ESP
72%
15%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1950 |
URU
3 - 2
SWE
40%
22%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1950 |
BRA
7 - 1
SWE
57%
19%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1950 |
SWE
2 - 2
PAR
83%
10%
7%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
SWE
3 - 2
ITA
63%
18%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1950 |
BRA
2 - 0
YUG
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1950 |
YUG
4 - 1
MEX
62%
18%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
YUG
3 - 0
SUI
75%
13%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
SUI
0 - 4
YUG
52%
20%
27%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
YUG
5 - 1
DEN
60%
19%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |