Sweden vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1974 |
NED
0 - 0
SWE
53%
22%
25%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1974 |
SWE
0 - 0
BGR
73%
15%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
SWE
0 - 0
SUI
81%
14%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1974 |
DEN
0 - 2
SWE
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1974 |
GER
2 - 0
SWE
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1974 |
BGR
1 - 1
URU
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1974 |
URU
0 - 2
NED
60%
21%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1974 |
URU
2 - 0
IRL
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
AUS
2 - 0
URU
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1974 |
AUS
0 - 0
URU
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |