Sweden vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
SWE
1 - 1
ISR
83%
11%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
74%
15%
12%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1970 |
HUN
1 - 2
SWE
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
MEX
0 - 1
SWE
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
MEX
0 - 0
SWE
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
URU
0 - 0
ITA
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
URU
2 - 0
ISR
73%
15%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1970 |
PER
4 - 2
URU
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1970 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |