Sweden vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1988 |
GER
1 - 1
SWE
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1988 |
FIN
0 - 1
SWE
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1988 |
DDR
1 - 4
SWE
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
ITA
2 - 1
SWE
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
BRD
1 - 1
SWE
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1988 |
ARG
2 - 4
SUN
43%
28%
29%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
GRC
0 - 4
SUN
21%
29%
50%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
ITA
4 - 1
SUN
50%
27%
24%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
SUN
2 - 0
ISL
83%
13%
4%
|
93 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
DDR
1 - 1
SUN
39%
29%
33%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |