Sweden vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
44.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1982 |
SWE
2 - 2
DDR
34%
29%
38%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1982 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
FIN
2 - 1
SWE
18%
20%
62%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
FIN
2 - 2
SWE
17%
20%
63%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
KSA
1 - 2
SWE
9%
21%
70%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1982 |
SUN
1 - 0
DDR
63%
22%
15%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
ARG
1 - 1
SUN
51%
26%
23%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1982 |
GRC
0 - 2
SUN
21%
27%
52%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
CSK
1 - 1
SUN
44%
27%
30%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
SUN
3 - 0
WAL
80%
15%
5%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |