Sweden vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1972 |
SWE
2 - 0
DEN
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1972 |
AUT
2 - 0
SWE
44%
26%
31%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1972 |
SWE
0 - 0
HUN
39%
26%
35%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
SWE
1 - 2
CSK
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1972 |
SUI
1 - 1
SWE
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1972 |
FIN
1 - 1
SUN
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1972 |
POR
1 - 0
SUN
45%
28%
28%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
BRD
3 - 0
SUN
76%
14%
10%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1972 |
SUN
1 - 0
HUN
55%
22%
24%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1972 |
SUN
1 - 0
BGR
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |