EC Qualifying Etapas finales Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Sweden vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
NED
0 - 1
SWE
27%
22%
51%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
SWE
2 - 1
GER
62%
18%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
SWE
2 - 2
HUN
41%
22%
38%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
DEN
2 - 2
SWE
38%
22%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1963 |
SWE
3 - 2
YUG
59%
20%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 1
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
ITA
1 - 1
SUN
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
SUN
2 - 0
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
SUN
1 - 1
HUN
25%
21%
54%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1963 |
FIN
0 - 4
SUN
32%
22%
47%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |