Sweden vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.5%
Win probability
4.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.2%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.2%
+8
2.7%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1.7%
9-2
0.4%
10-3
0.1%
+7
5.2%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
3%
8-2
0.8%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
8.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
4.7%
7-2
1.4%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
6.3%
6-2
2.2%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
7%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.5%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
5.6%
3.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1955 |
SWE
4 - 1
ROU
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1955 |
SWE
3 - 7
HUN
43%
20%
37%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
FRA
2 - 0
SWE
44%
21%
35%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
SWE
2 - 1
AUT
69%
15%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SWE
5 - 2
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
SUN
1 - 1
HUN
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 90 | 71 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1954 |
SUN
7 - 0
SWE
8%
13%
80%
|
17 | 85 | 68 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
3 - 1
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
17 | 82 | 65 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
5 - 5
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
16 | 82 | 66 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 1952 |
SUN
2 - 1
BGR
16%
18%
65%
|
15 | 63 | 48 | +1 |