Sweden vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
58%
25%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 3
SWE
55%
25%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
SWE
4 - 1
WAL
61%
25%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
SWE
2 - 0
SUN
32%
30%
39%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1988 |
GER
1 - 1
SWE
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1988 |
LBN
1 - 1
TUN
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1988 |
EGY
1 - 0
TUN
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1988 |
KSA
1 - 1
TUN
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1988 |
IRQ
1 - 1
TUN
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1988 |
BHR
1 - 0
TUN
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |