Sweden vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.1%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.8%
2.4%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
SWE
6 - 0
MDA
91%
7%
2%
|
95 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
SWE
2 - 0
SVK
86%
11%
3%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
SUI
0 - 2
SWE
33%
28%
39%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
MDA
0 - 2
SWE
10%
22%
69%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
SWE
1 - 0
MKD
91%
8%
2%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
MWI
1 - 0
RSA
18%
23%
60%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
MOZ
0 - 3
RSA
11%
22%
68%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
ITA
1 - 0
RSA
92%
7%
1%
|
81 | 99 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
LSO
1 - 0
RSA
7%
19%
74%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
RSA
0 - 0
FRA
5%
17%
77%
|
81 | 100 | 19 | +1 |