Sweden vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.9%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
10%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
15%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
17.2%
3-0
18%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.2%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.3%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
5.2%
0.9%
Win probability
0.2
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
SWE
1 - 2
GRC
68%
20%
12%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
SWE
3 - 0
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SMR
0 - 6
SWE
8%
20%
71%
|
94 | 46 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
SWE
1 - 2
CRO
60%
23%
17%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
HUN
1 - 2
SWE
32%
27%
42%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
LIE
2 - 2
SMR
32%
23%
46%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
SMR
0 - 5
HUN
3%
12%
85%
|
46 | 87 | 41 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SMR
0 - 6
SWE
8%
20%
71%
|
46 | 94 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
LVA
3 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
93%
6%
1%
|
46 | 90 | 44 | 0 |