Sweden vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
IRL
3 - 2
SWE
37%
22%
41%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1959 |
ENG
2 - 3
SWE
66%
17%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
SWE
6 - 2
NOR
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1959 |
SWE
3 - 1
FIN
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1959 |
HUN
3 - 2
SWE
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1960 |
GER
0 - 1
IRL
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1960 |
IRL
6 - 3
NED
55%
20%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1960 |
IRL
2 - 0
CHI
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
IRL
1 - 3
GBR
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1959 |
GBR
3 - 2
IRL
46%
21%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |