Sweden vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1982 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
FIN
2 - 1
SWE
18%
20%
62%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
FIN
2 - 2
SWE
17%
20%
63%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
KSA
1 - 2
SWE
9%
21%
70%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
POR
1 - 2
SWE
54%
26%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1982 |
SUN
1 - 0
DDR
63%
22%
15%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
DDR
1 - 0
ITA
48%
26%
26%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1982 |
IRQ
0 - 0
DDR
28%
29%
43%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1982 |
GRC
0 - 1
DDR
26%
27%
47%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1982 |
BRA
3 - 1
DDR
74%
18%
9%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |