Sweden vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
POR
1 - 2
SWE
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
SWE
2 - 1
DEN
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
SWE
4 - 1
AUT
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
NOR
2 - 4
SWE
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1966 |
SWE
2 - 3
BRA
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
DDR
4 - 3
NED
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1967 |
GRC
0 - 5
DDR
45%
22%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 2
DDR
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
DDR
2 - 0
ROU
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
DDR
2 - 0
POL
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |