Sweden vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
SWE
1 - 1
MEX
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1984 |
SWE
0 - 1
DEN
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1984 |
SWE
4 - 0
MLT
93%
5%
2%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1984 |
SUI
0 - 0
SWE
37%
27%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1983 |
MEX
2 - 0
SWE
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1984 |
POR
1 - 0
BGR
64%
23%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1984 |
FRA
3 - 2
POR
61%
22%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1984 |
POR
1 - 0
ROU
55%
26%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1984 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
44%
28%
28%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1984 |
POR
0 - 0
BRD
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |