Sweden vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
SWE
2 - 1
SCO
61%
23%
16%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
FRA
1 - 0
SWE
63%
22%
16%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
ISR
0 - 1
SWE
23%
26%
51%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1997 |
JPN
0 - 1
SWE
27%
26%
47%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
SWE
2 - 0
ROU
57%
23%
20%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
ITA
3 - 0
POL
68%
21%
11%
|
87 | 97 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
POL
0 - 0
ITA
24%
30%
47%
|
87 | 97 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
CZE
2 - 1
POL
54%
22%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1997 |
BRA
4 - 2
POL
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1997 |
POL
3 - 2
LVA
87%
10%
4%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |