Sweden vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
NOR
1 - 1
SWE
30%
23%
47%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1964 |
FIN
1 - 0
SWE
28%
22%
51%
|
87 | 44 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1964 |
SWE
4 - 1
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1964 |
SUN
3 - 1
SWE
39%
23%
38%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1964 |
SWE
1 - 1
SUN
78%
14%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
TUR
2 - 3
POL
51%
23%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
POL
2 - 1
CSK
42%
23%
35%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1964 |
POL
0 - 1
ITA
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
POL
3 - 1
IRL
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
GRC
3 - 1
POL
40%
22%
38%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |