Sweden vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.93
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14.1%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
8.7%
6.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1947 |
SWE
7 - 0
FIN
93%
5%
3%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1947 |
NOR
1 - 5
SWE
41%
21%
39%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1947 |
SWE
6 - 1
DEN
78%
12%
10%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1947 |
DEN
1 - 4
SWE
57%
19%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
SWE
3 - 3
DEN
76%
13%
11%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1947 |
CSK
6 - 3
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1947 |
POL
1 - 2
ROU
59%
18%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1947 |
NOR
3 - 1
POL
53%
19%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1939 |
POL
4 - 2
HUN
40%
21%
39%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
POL
1 - 1
SUI
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |