Sweden vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.3%
11.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
NOR
0 - 1
SWE
50%
20%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1933 |
SWE
2 - 0
FIN
84%
9%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1933 |
LVA
1 - 1
SWE
33%
22%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1933 |
SWE
5 - 2
HUN
63%
17%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1933 |
LTU
0 - 2
SWE
27%
21%
52%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1934 |
DEN
4 - 2
POL
68%
17%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
CSK
2 - 0
POL
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
BRD
1 - 0
POL
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
POL
1 - 2
CSK
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1933 |
POL
4 - 3
YUG
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |