Sweden vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
3.1%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
15.2%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
9.8%
7.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
SWE
3 - 2
ITA
63%
18%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1950 |
SWE
4 - 1
NED
81%
11%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
HUN
5 - 0
SWE
66%
16%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 3
SWE
34%
21%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
DEN
3 - 2
SWE
50%
20%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1950 |
BRA
3 - 3
PAR
76%
13%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
76%
13%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
PAR
3 - 2
URU
49%
20%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
ARG
4 - 0
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
ARG
2 - 2
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |