Sweden vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1985 |
ISR
1 - 1
SWE
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
POR
1 - 3
SWE
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
BRD
2 - 0
SWE
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1984 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
SWE
0 - 1
POR
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1985 |
IRL
0 - 0
NOR
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
DDR
1 - 0
NOR
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1985 |
WAL
1 - 1
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
NOR
1 - 0
IRL
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1984 |
NOR
1 - 1
SUN
17%
27%
56%
|
68 | 93 | 25 | +1 |