Sweden vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
NOR
3 - 1
SWE
31%
24%
46%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1967 |
SWE
2 - 0
FIN
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1967 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
36%
25%
40%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
SWE
0 - 2
BGR
76%
15%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1967 |
SWE
1 - 1
POR
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
NOR
0 - 5
DEN
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
NOR
3 - 1
SWE
31%
24%
46%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1967 |
NOR
0 - 0
BGR
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1967 |
NOR
1 - 2
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1967 |
FIN
0 - 2
NOR
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |