EC Qualifying Clasificación Final
Global 3-1
Sweden vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
6.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
SWE
4 - 2
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
28%
23%
49%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1962 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
27%
22%
50%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1962 |
FIN
0 - 3
SWE
28%
21%
51%
|
86 | 42 | 44 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1962 |
SWE
0 - 2
SUN
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
28%
23%
49%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1962 |
NOR
2 - 1
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1962 |
ISL
1 - 3
NOR
57%
19%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1962 |
NOR
5 - 0
MLT
54%
20%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1962 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
27%
22%
50%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |