Sweden vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.2%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.1%
10.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1936 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
76%
13%
11%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1936 |
SWE
5 - 2
SUI
85%
9%
6%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1936 |
DEN
4 - 3
SWE
54%
19%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
BEL
5 - 1
SWE
33%
21%
46%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
FRA
2 - 0
SWE
32%
21%
47%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1936 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
76%
13%
11%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1936 |
NOR
1 - 2
SUI
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
SUI
2 - 0
NOR
47%
20%
33%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
46%
21%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1935 |
FIN
1 - 5
NOR
49%
20%
31%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |