Sweden vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.8%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.9%
11.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1932 |
DEN
3 - 1
SWE
54%
19%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
SWE
3 - 1
BEL
78%
12%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1932 |
FIN
1 - 3
SWE
36%
21%
44%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1932 |
SWE
7 - 1
FIN
84%
10%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1931 |
HUN
3 - 1
SWE
57%
19%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1932 |
NOR
2 - 1
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
NOR
3 - 0
EST
71%
16%
14%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
39%
22%
40%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1931 |
FIN
4 - 4
NOR
48%
21%
31%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
NOR
2 - 2
GER
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |