Sweden vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.7%
8.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1927 |
NED
1 - 0
SWE
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1927 |
SUI
2 - 2
SWE
36%
22%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1927 |
SWE
7 - 0
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1927 |
SWE
3 - 1
EST
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1927 |
NOR
3 - 5
SWE
34%
23%
43%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1928 |
FIN
0 - 6
NOR
65%
17%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1927 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
75%
14%
11%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1927 |
GER
6 - 2
NOR
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 1927 |
NOR
3 - 5
SWE
34%
23%
43%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1927 |
NOR
3 - 1
FIN
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |